Time: 2024-07-28
Consumer confidence in Australia and New Zealand has shown a slight increase , indicating a potential end to the economic downturn . According to the ANZ - Roy Morgan Consumer confidence index , there was a five - point increase in July , bringing the index to 88 points , although it still remains at a pessimistic level . ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner noted that high costs of living and interest rates were still challenging for consumers . However , there has been a slight recovery from the March - April decline , driven by improving future expectations rather than current conditions.
The survey 's future conditions index revealed that 20 percent of respondents are expecting to be better off in the coming year . This positive outlook was also reflected in consumers ' attitudes towards the economic outlook in both the short and long term . Zollner highlighted that there is a glimmer of optimism among consumers that the worst may soon be over , despite the current challenges many are facing . Additionally , two - year inflation expectations decreased from 4.2 percent to 3.7 percent , and house price expectations for the next year also eased to 2.4 percent.
Consumer sentiment is expected to be further boosted by the anticipation of Reserve Bank official cash rate cuts in the near future . Zollner mentioned that the central bank would be closely monitoring upcoming labor market data and the impact of the upcoming Tax cuts before making any decisions . While some are predicting a rate cut as early as next month , ANZ believes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand ( RBNZ ) will likely wait until November to ensure that inflation remains under control.
Despite the current challenges faced by consumers , there is a sense of cautious optimism in the air . With improving expectations and a potential easing of economic conditions , there is hope that the worst of the economic downturn may soon be behind us . The slight uptick in consumer confidence is a positive sign for both Australia and New Zealand , indicating a potential turnaround in the economic landscape.